Police vs Douanes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.9%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
28.2%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Police
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2022 |
ASE
0 - 0
ASP
40%
30%
31%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
ASP
1 - 1
SON
47%
27%
26%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
ASF
0 - 1
ASP
48%
27%
25%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
ASF
1 - 0
ASP
42%
28%
30%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2022 |
ASP
1 - 0
ETO
43%
29%
27%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Douanes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2022 |
ASD
2 - 0
SON
53%
25%
22%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
ASD
0 - 0
ASE
50%
26%
24%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
ASF
0 - 1
ASD
44%
28%
28%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
ASF
2 - 1
ASD
45%
28%
27%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2022 |
ASD
1 - 1
ASK
51%
27%
23%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |