As Papenoo vs Dragon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
3.4%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.3%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
0.7%
1-0
0.6%
2-1
1.1%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
2.5%
6.5%
Draw
0-0
0.8%
1-1
2.6%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
6.5%
89.8%
Win probability
4.04
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
7%
2-4
2.9%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.9%
0-3
8.5%
1-4
7.1%
2-5
2.4%
3-6
0.4%
4-7
0.1%
-3
18.4%
0-4
8.6%
1-5
5.7%
2-6
1.6%
3-7
0.3%
4-8
0%
-4
16.1%
0-5
6.9%
1-6
3.8%
2-7
0.9%
3-8
0.1%
4-9
0%
-5
11.8%
0-6
4.7%
1-7
2.2%
2-8
0.5%
3-9
0.1%
-6
7.4%
0-7
2.7%
1-8
1.1%
2-9
0.2%
3-10
0%
-7
4%
0-8
1.4%
1-9
0.5%
2-10
0.1%
-8
1.9%
0-9
0.6%
1-10
0.2%
-9
0.8%
0-10
0.2%
-10
0.2%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-48%
-46%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
As Papenoo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
VEN
6 - 2
ASP
92%
6%
2%
|
9 | 29 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2023 |
ASP
0 - 12
TEF
5%
10%
85%
|
9 | 29 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2023 |
ASP
2 - 5
ASJ
22%
20%
58%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
TEM
2 - 2
ASP
88%
8%
4%
|
9 | 20 | 11 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
PUN
7 - 1
ASP
92%
6%
2%
|
9 | 28 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Dragon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
DRA
6 - 1
ASJ
91%
6%
3%
|
25 | 14 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
TEM
2 - 6
DRA
21%
17%
63%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2023 |
DRA
2 - 2
PUN
49%
19%
32%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
OLY
1 - 6
DRA
16%
16%
68%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
DRA
2 - 2
CEN
41%
21%
39%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | 0 |