Montlouis vs ES Bourges Moulon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.1%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.7%
13.2%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+95%
+607%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
61
1º
4º
2º
37
4º
11º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
62 | 62 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
61 | 61 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 49 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 46 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 37 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 23 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 10 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montlouis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
VIE
0 - 2
MON
36%
24%
40%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
MON
1 - 0
VSF
74%
15%
11%
|
35 | 20 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
PAN
0 - 2
MON
35%
23%
42%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
CHA
1 - 2
MON
29%
24%
47%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
MON
3 - 1
CHA
81%
12%
7%
|
33 | 14 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
ES Bourges Moulon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
SBM
1 - 3
CHA
51%
21%
28%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
CHA
2 - 2
SBM
18%
20%
62%
|
24 | 14 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
SBM
3 - 0
CHA
30%
22%
49%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | +2 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
BOU
0 - 1
SBM
49%
22%
29%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
SBM
0 - 0
CHA
28%
22%
51%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | +1 |