Haiti League Relegation Round Round 3

Mirebalais vs AS Capoise analysis

Mirebalais AS Capoise
58 ELO 54
-34.8% Tilt -27.3%
23206º General ELO ranking 3041º
16º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
40%
Mirebalais
31.6%
Draw
28.4%
AS Capoise

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40%
Win probability
Mirebalais
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.7%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
15.9%
2-1
7%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24%
31.6%
Draw
0-0
15%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
31.6%
28.4%
Win probability
AS Capoise
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Mirebalais
+16%
+2%
AS Capoise

ELO progression

Mirebalais
AS Capoise
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Mirebalais
Mirebalais
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Oct. 2012
DON
Don Bosco
1 - 1
Mirebalais
ASM
58%
26%
16%
57 61 4 0
07 Oct. 2012
ASM
Mirebalais
2 - 0
Violette
VIO
29%
32%
39%
56 60 4 +1
23 Sep. 2012
ASM
Mirebalais
3 - 0
Victory
VIC
25%
33%
41%
54 61 7 +2
16 Sep. 2012
CAP
AS Capoise
2 - 0
Mirebalais
ASM
44%
31%
25%
55 56 1 -1
13 Sep. 2012
ASM
Mirebalais
0 - 1
Don Bosco
DON
32%
35%
34%
56 59 3 -1

Matches

AS Capoise
AS Capoise
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Oct. 2012
CAP
AS Capoise
0 - 0
Victory
VIC
32%
32%
36%
54 60 6 0
06 Oct. 2012
CAV
Cavaly
2 - 0
AS Capoise
CAP
45%
30%
25%
55 59 4 -1
28 Sep. 2012
DON
Don Bosco
4 - 0
AS Capoise
CAP
57%
26%
18%
56 60 4 -1
23 Sep. 2012
VIO
Violette
2 - 1
AS Capoise
CAP
54%
26%
20%
57 59 2 -1
16 Sep. 2012
CAP
AS Capoise
2 - 0
Mirebalais
ASM
44%
31%
25%
56 55 1 +1