Melfi vs Cassino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
30.9%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melfi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2007 |
ASM
1 - 1
SSS
59%
23%
18%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2007 |
MON
2 - 1
ASM
64%
21%
15%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2007 |
ASN
3 - 1
ASM
28%
26%
45%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2007 |
ASM
0 - 0
VIG
42%
27%
31%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2007 |
ASM
1 - 0
VAL
32%
26%
42%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | +3 |
Matches
Cassino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2007 |
SSC
1 - 0
FCC
43%
26%
32%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2007 |
GEL
2 - 0
SSC
47%
27%
26%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | -2 |
| 09 Sep. 2007 |
SSC
3 - 2
ASN
60%
22%
18%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2007 |
VAL
3 - 1
SSC
58%
23%
19%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2007 |
SSC
0 - 0
REA
41%
25%
33%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | +2 |