AS Marsa vs AS Kasserine analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
+3
8.9%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
18%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.8%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
11.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
25.5%
14.6%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AS Marsa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
USM
1 - 1
ASD
43%
29%
28%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
ASD
1 - 0
OLY
41%
30%
29%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2008 |
ETO
2 - 0
ASD
49%
26%
24%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2008 |
STA
2 - 1
ASD
49%
26%
24%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2008 |
ASD
0 - 1
CAB
44%
29%
28%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
AS Kasserine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
LAN
0 - 0
CAB
31%
28%
41%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
CLU
1 - 0
LAN
64%
23%
13%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2008 |
CSS
2 - 0
LAN
69%
19%
12%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2008 |
LAN
1 - 0
USM
28%
29%
43%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2008 |
OLY
1 - 1
LAN
63%
23%
14%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | +1 |