La Chataigneraie vs Ancienne Château-Gontier analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.8%
Win probability
2.99
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.1%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.6%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.8%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.6%
2-0
10%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.8%
12%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
12%
7.1%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-30%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
8º
14º
9º
11
10º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
50 | 53 |
1º
|
89.5% | |
|
1º
|
50 | 50 |
2º
|
89.5% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
89.5% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 22 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
11 | 11 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Chataigneraie
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
NIO
2 - 2
ASC
64%
18%
19%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
SAB
0 - 2
ASC
73%
15%
12%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
NAN
4 - 2
ASC
71%
17%
12%
|
24 | 44 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
ASC
2 - 0
LSD
26%
21%
53%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | +2 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
ASC
1 - 2
CHA
23%
22%
55%
|
22 | 37 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Ancienne Château-Gontier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
ACG
1 - 2
LSD
13%
17%
70%
|
14 | 29 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
NAN
1 - 0
ACG
79%
14%
7%
|
14 | 44 | 30 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
SNA
2 - 0
ACG
72%
17%
12%
|
14 | 25 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
ACG
1 - 0
CHA
11%
17%
72%
|
10 | 37 | 27 | +4 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
ACG
3 - 3
CHA
11%
17%
71%
|
9 | 23 | 14 | +1 |