AS Kigali vs Musanze FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.1%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
30.1%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AS Kigali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2024 |
ASK
0 - 1
EDE
66%
18%
16%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
POL
0 - 1
ASK
47%
27%
26%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
ASK
2 - 1
MAR
54%
23%
24%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
AMA
2 - 1
ASK
38%
30%
31%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2024 |
ASK
1 - 0
GFC
54%
24%
22%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Musanze FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
MUS
1 - 0
MFC
57%
22%
21%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2024 |
RAY
0 - 1
MUS
46%
25%
29%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
MUS
1 - 1
ETI
46%
27%
27%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
MUK
0 - 1
MUS
47%
25%
28%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2024 |
SUN
0 - 0
MUS
47%
25%
28%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |