Dragons vs Motema Pembe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
16.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.9%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
11.7%
1-1
12%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
27.1%
18.8%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dragons
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2016 |
VCL
1 - 0
ASD
48%
28%
24%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2016 |
ASD
0 - 1
VEC
53%
26%
21%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
ASD
1 - 2
FMK
57%
25%
18%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2016 |
RCK
2 - 1
ASD
45%
29%
26%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2016 |
ASD
1 - 0
SHA
51%
27%
22%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Motema Pembe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
MOT
3 - 0
FMK
57%
25%
19%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2016 |
RCK
1 - 2
MOT
49%
30%
22%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2016 |
SHA
0 - 0
MOT
53%
28%
19%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
NDO
0 - 2
MOT
33%
32%
35%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
MOT
2 - 0
VCL
49%
26%
26%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |