Cittadella vs Savona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.9%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.8%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.7%
8.3%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cittadella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2013 |
CTT
1 - 0
ASC
49%
26%
26%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
EMP
1 - 0
CTT
68%
19%
13%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
CTT
1 - 2
REG
40%
26%
33%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
VAR
2 - 0
CTT
60%
22%
18%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
CTT
1 - 0
JUS
44%
26%
30%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Savona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
PRG
0 - 1
SAV
74%
17%
9%
|
39 | 59 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
VNZ
3 - 2
SAV
65%
20%
15%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
SAV
3 - 1
SCH
59%
21%
19%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
RIM
2 - 0
SAV
32%
26%
43%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | -2 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
SAV
2 - 1
BV5
41%
27%
32%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | +1 |