Cittadella vs Novara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.1%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
46.1%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.8%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cittadella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
BRE
2 - 2
CTT
56%
25%
20%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2013 |
CTT
0 - 0
SPE
45%
27%
28%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
SAS
1 - 0
CTT
68%
20%
12%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
MOD
3 - 3
CTT
52%
25%
24%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
CTT
1 - 0
TER
52%
27%
21%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
NOV
1 - 0
ASC
64%
21%
15%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2013 |
VAR
0 - 2
NOV
45%
26%
29%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
NOV
5 - 1
CRO
60%
23%
17%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
BRE
1 - 1
NOV
39%
28%
33%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
NOV
1 - 1
REG
60%
23%
18%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |