Cittadella vs Padova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.8%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
8%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
13.8%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cittadella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2019 |
ACE
1 - 4
CTT
4%
14%
82%
|
71 | 25 | 46 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2019 |
CTT
1 - 2
POR
73%
16%
10%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2019 |
BEN
2 - 0
CTT
50%
24%
27%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2019 |
CTT
6 - 0
TRE
93%
7%
1%
|
71 | 19 | 52 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2019 |
CTT
1 - 3
VIC
83%
12%
5%
|
71 | 51 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2019 |
PAD
0 - 0
VIR
74%
19%
7%
|
61 | 39 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2019 |
PAD
1 - 1
LIV
38%
28%
35%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
BEN
3 - 3
PAD
65%
20%
15%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2019 |
PAD
2 - 1
LEC
25%
27%
49%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2019 |
PAL
1 - 1
PAD
68%
20%
12%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | 0 |