Cittadella vs Pavia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.4%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
17.3%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cittadella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2003 |
PIS
1 - 0
CTT
38%
28%
34%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2003 |
CTT
1 - 0
RIM
54%
24%
22%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2003 |
VAR
1 - 1
CTT
38%
29%
34%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2003 |
CTT
1 - 1
SAS
63%
22%
15%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2003 |
ACP
0 - 1
CTT
43%
26%
31%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Pavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2003 |
PAV
3 - 1
PRO
36%
26%
38%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2003 |
NOV
2 - 0
PAV
66%
20%
14%
|
47 | 60 | 13 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2003 |
PAV
2 - 0
ACL
32%
27%
41%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | +2 |
| 12 Oct. 2003 |
CES
2 - 1
PAV
67%
20%
13%
|
45 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2003 |
SPE
1 - 1
PAV
60%
23%
17%
|
45 | 59 | 14 | 0 |