AS Castello vs Ibach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.3%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.3%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
45.1%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.6%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AS Castello
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
HER
2 - 3
CAS
63%
19%
19%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2016 |
WIL
0 - 2
CAS
34%
22%
45%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
CAS
1 - 1
HOC
46%
23%
31%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
TEA
1 - 0
CAS
66%
18%
16%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
LUZ
4 - 1
CAS
23%
21%
56%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Ibach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
IBA
3 - 0
KUS
78%
14%
8%
|
31 | 17 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
GOL
4 - 3
IBA
50%
23%
28%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
IBA
2 - 5
BEL
7%
19%
74%
|
33 | 66 | 33 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
WIL
1 - 2
IBA
25%
22%
54%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
IBA
0 - 0
ASC
59%
21%
20%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |