AS Castello vs Hergiswil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.3%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
10.6%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.7%
64.9%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
3%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18.7%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
1.5%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
12.8%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.1%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.2%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AS Castello
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
GOL
2 - 3
CAS
86%
9%
5%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
CAS
1 - 3
HOC
26%
21%
52%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
IBA
1 - 1
CAS
69%
18%
14%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
CAS
1 - 3
BRU
39%
23%
39%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
LUG
4 - 0
CAS
67%
18%
16%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Hergiswil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2017 |
HER
1 - 0
HOC
54%
20%
26%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2017 |
BRU
2 - 3
HER
36%
21%
43%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
HER
2 - 2
ASC
52%
23%
25%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
VED
2 - 1
HER
30%
20%
50%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
ESC
1 - 2
HER
22%
21%
57%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | 0 |