AS Castello vs Hergiswil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.2%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.1%
33.7%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AS Castello
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
IBA
2 - 1
CAS
29%
23%
48%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
CAS
3 - 2
HOC
61%
20%
19%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
MAL
0 - 2
CAS
17%
21%
62%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
CAS
1 - 1
GUN
58%
21%
22%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
CAS
1 - 0
RUS
67%
18%
15%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Hergiswil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2014 |
HER
2 - 3
GOL
40%
24%
37%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
HER
1 - 3
SCH
34%
24%
42%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | -2 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
ASC
1 - 3
HER
39%
22%
39%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | +2 |
| 05 Sep. 2014 |
HER
2 - 1
SAR
53%
23%
24%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2014 |
HER
1 - 0
BUO
28%
22%
50%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | +2 |