AS Castello vs Goldau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.8%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.2%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
51.3%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
15.5%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-53%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AS Castello
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
ASC
1 - 1
CAS
49%
22%
29%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
SAR
3 - 1
CAS
51%
21%
28%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
CAS
1 - 1
ESC
47%
23%
30%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
BUO
3 - 1
CAS
68%
17%
15%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
CAS
1 - 2
ZOF
31%
23%
46%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Goldau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
ASC
0 - 1
GOL
26%
21%
53%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
GOL
4 - 1
SAR
69%
18%
14%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
ESC
2 - 1
GOL
23%
22%
55%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | -2 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
GOL
3 - 1
BUO
42%
22%
36%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | +2 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
ZOF
2 - 2
GOL
53%
22%
25%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |