AS Castello vs Ascona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.2%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.9%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
34.3%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AS Castello
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2016 |
ESC
3 - 2
CAS
39%
23%
38%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
CAS
1 - 5
TAV
55%
22%
23%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
SAR
0 - 2
CAS
26%
21%
53%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
CAS
5 - 1
IBA
31%
24%
45%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | +2 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
HER
2 - 3
CAS
63%
19%
19%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Ascona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2016 |
ASC
2 - 1
KUS
78%
14%
8%
|
25 | 15 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
GOL
4 - 1
ASC
65%
19%
16%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
ASC
1 - 5
BEL
8%
18%
74%
|
27 | 64 | 37 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
WIL
1 - 2
ASC
22%
21%
57%
|
26 | 15 | 11 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
ASC
2 - 1
LUZ
62%
21%
17%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | 0 |