Serie B relegation play-off Final
Global 4-1
SSC Bari vs Ternana Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.8%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
7%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
30.9%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2024 |
BAR
2 - 0
BRE
36%
27%
37%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
CTT
1 - 1
BAR
47%
27%
27%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
BAR
1 - 1
PAR
22%
26%
52%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
NUO
4 - 1
BAR
39%
28%
33%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
BAR
1 - 1
PIS
37%
27%
35%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Ternana Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2024 |
FER
0 - 1
TER
34%
25%
41%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
TER
1 - 0
FCC
28%
26%
46%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
FCS
4 - 3
TER
45%
27%
29%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
TER
0 - 1
ASC
40%
27%
34%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
BRE
0 - 0
TER
53%
24%
24%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | +1 |