SSC Bari vs SPAL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.9%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
32.5%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 1963 |
GEN
0 - 0
BAR
64%
21%
15%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1963 |
ATL
1 - 0
BAR
70%
19%
11%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1963 |
BAR
0 - 1
BOL
27%
26%
47%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 1963 |
SAM
2 - 0
BAR
62%
22%
16%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1963 |
BAR
0 - 2
LAZ
50%
26%
23%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 1963 |
MOD
4 - 3
SPA
41%
28%
31%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1963 |
SPA
0 - 0
GEN
57%
23%
20%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1963 |
SPA
2 - 0
ROM
37%
26%
37%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1963 |
TOR
2 - 0
SPA
52%
25%
23%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1963 |
SPA
3 - 1
SAM
51%
24%
25%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |