SSC Bari vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.2%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
26.5%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2008 |
BOL
1 - 1
BAR
65%
22%
13%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2008 |
BAR
2 - 1
SPE
55%
25%
20%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2008 |
BRE
0 - 0
BAR
61%
24%
16%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2008 |
BAR
2 - 0
TRI
45%
27%
28%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2008 |
MES
1 - 2
BAR
56%
25%
20%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2008 |
TRI
3 - 1
MOD
44%
26%
30%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2008 |
MOD
1 - 2
LEC
28%
27%
45%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2008 |
BOL
4 - 1
MOD
63%
22%
14%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2008 |
MOD
0 - 0
PIS
45%
28%
27%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2008 |
AVE
1 - 1
MOD
39%
26%
35%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |