SSC Bari vs Crotone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.4%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
24.4%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
BAR
0 - 1
VAR
42%
28%
31%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
TER
0 - 0
BAR
36%
27%
37%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
BAR
0 - 1
ASC
51%
26%
23%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Dec. 2012 |
CTT
1 - 1
BAR
38%
27%
35%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2012 |
BAR
1 - 0
GRO
61%
23%
16%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
CRO
1 - 0
GRO
62%
22%
17%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
CTT
2 - 2
CRO
43%
27%
31%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2013 |
CRO
2 - 1
SAS
28%
27%
46%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | +1 |
| 30 Dec. 2012 |
BRE
5 - 0
CRO
52%
26%
22%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2012 |
JUS
3 - 1
CRO
48%
26%
26%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -1 |