SSC Bari vs Spezia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.2%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.8%
11%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2011 |
BAR
1 - 0
RSO
37%
26%
37%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
BOL
0 - 4
BAR
56%
24%
20%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
BAR
0 - 2
LEC
38%
26%
36%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
PAL
2 - 1
BAR
69%
19%
12%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
BAR
2 - 3
ROM
17%
22%
60%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
SPE
3 - 0
VAO
63%
22%
15%
|
55 | 36 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
ACL
2 - 1
SPE
51%
26%
23%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
SPE
2 - 1
SOR
23%
26%
52%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
PAG
0 - 1
SPE
38%
29%
33%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
SPE
1 - 0
BV5
48%
28%
25%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | +1 |