Arue vs Taiarapu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
7%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.5%
1-0
1.8%
2-1
2.2%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
5.1%
11.9%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
11.9%
81.1%
Win probability
3.01
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.7%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
8.1%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.9%
0-3
9.9%
1-4
6.1%
2-5
1.5%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
17.7%
0-4
7.5%
1-5
3.7%
2-6
0.8%
3-7
0.1%
-4
12%
0-5
4.5%
1-6
1.8%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
6.7%
0-6
2.3%
1-7
0.8%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
3.2%
0-7
1%
1-8
0.3%
2-9
0%
-7
1.3%
0-8
0.4%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.5%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.2%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
AST
1 - 0
ASA
92%
6%
2%
|
11 | 45 | 34 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
VEN
3 - 0
ASA
95%
4%
1%
|
11 | 45 | 34 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
ASA
1 - 4
TEF
2%
5%
93%
|
13 | 49 | 36 | -2 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
CEN
8 - 0
ASA
96%
3%
1%
|
13 | 48 | 35 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
MAN
0 - 0
ASA
93%
6%
2%
|
12 | 41 | 29 | +1 |
Matches
Taiarapu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2019 |
TFC
2 - 2
MAN
13%
15%
73%
|
22 | 39 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2019 |
TFC
3 - 9
VEN
8%
12%
80%
|
23 | 45 | 22 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 2018 |
TFC
3 - 6
AST
13%
16%
71%
|
25 | 45 | 20 | -2 |
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
TFC
2 - 3
DRA
8%
11%
81%
|
26 | 46 | 20 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
PIR
5 - 0
TFC
89%
7%
4%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | -1 |