Arzachena vs San Basilio Pa… analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.6%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
30.3%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arzachena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
TOR
3 - 2
ARZ
61%
21%
18%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
ARZ
1 - 3
SAS
17%
24%
59%
|
27 | 49 | 22 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
BUD
1 - 0
ARZ
44%
25%
30%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
ARZ
2 - 2
ANZ
52%
23%
25%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
PRO
1 - 3
ARZ
44%
24%
32%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
San Basilio Pa…
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
SAN
0 - 3
LUP
41%
24%
35%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
POR
0 - 0
SAN
47%
24%
30%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
SAN
3 - 3
SEL
58%
21%
21%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
CIV
0 - 0
SAN
44%
24%
33%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
SAN
1 - 1
HYR
83%
11%
5%
|
30 | 11 | 19 | -1 |