Arucas vs Racing CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.9%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.6%
12.5%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arucas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 1986 |
ARU
0 - 3
SAL
59%
23%
18%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1986 |
ARU
2 - 1
MAR
50%
26%
25%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Dec. 1985 |
LAN
1 - 0
ARU
56%
25%
19%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 1985 |
ARU
5 - 0
CDP
39%
27%
34%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | +2 |
| 15 Dec. 1985 |
LAG
1 - 0
ARU
64%
21%
15%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Racing CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 1986 |
CJS
2 - 1
RAC
63%
21%
16%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1985 |
RAC
1 - 0
SAL
47%
25%
28%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 1985 |
MAR
3 - 1
RAC
75%
16%
9%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 1985 |
RAC
2 - 5
MAS
23%
27%
50%
|
19 | 36 | 17 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 1985 |
VSB
1 - 0
RAC
64%
21%
15%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |