Premier League Round 3

Arsenal vs Tottenham Hotspur analysis

Arsenal Tottenham Hotspur
88 ELO 85
-10.6% Tilt 1.6%
16º General ELO ranking 58º
Country ELO ranking 10º
ELO win probability
56.1%
Arsenal
24.4%
Draw
19.6%
Tottenham Hotspur

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.1%
Win probability
Arsenal
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
19.6%
Win probability
Tottenham Hotspur
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Arsenal
+1%
-2%
Tottenham Hotspur

ELO progression

Arsenal
Tottenham Hotspur
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Arsenal
Arsenal
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Aug. 1990
ARS
Arsenal
2 - 1
Luton Town
LUT
63%
22%
15%
87 81 6 0
25 Aug. 1990
WIM
Wimbledon FC
0 - 3
Arsenal
ARS
42%
27%
32%
87 85 2 0
05 May. 1990
NOR
Norwich City
2 - 2
Arsenal
ARS
32%
29%
39%
87 83 4 0
02 May. 1990
ARS
Arsenal
2 - 1
Southampton
SOU
57%
23%
20%
87 83 4 0
28 Apr. 1990
ARS
Arsenal
2 - 0
Millwall
MIL
72%
19%
10%
87 73 14 0

Matches

Tottenham Hotspur
Tottenham Hotspur
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Aug. 1990
SUN
Sunderland
0 - 0
Tottenham Hotspur
TOT
22%
28%
50%
85 68 17 0
25 Aug. 1990
TOT
Tottenham Hotspur
3 - 1
Manchester City
MAC
70%
18%
11%
85 78 7 0
05 May. 1990
TOT
Tottenham Hotspur
2 - 1
Southampton
SOU
59%
22%
19%
85 83 2 0
28 Apr. 1990
WIM
Wimbledon FC
1 - 0
Tottenham Hotspur
TOT
49%
25%
25%
85 84 1 0
21 Apr. 1990
TOT
Tottenham Hotspur
2 - 1
Manchester United
MUD
54%
24%
22%
85 86 1 0