Arsenal vs Sunderland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.9%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.2%
8.9%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 2016 |
ARS
1 - 0
NEW
73%
17%
10%
|
90 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2015 |
ARS
2 - 0
BOU
72%
18%
10%
|
90 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2015 |
SOU
4 - 0
ARS
27%
24%
49%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2015 |
ARS
2 - 1
MAC
31%
25%
44%
|
90 | 93 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
ASV
0 - 2
ARS
16%
22%
63%
|
90 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 2016 |
SUN
3 - 1
ASV
43%
27%
31%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2015 |
SUN
0 - 1
LIV
24%
26%
51%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2015 |
MAC
4 - 1
SUN
86%
10%
4%
|
79 | 93 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
CHL
3 - 1
SUN
74%
17%
9%
|
79 | 90 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
SUN
0 - 1
WAT
43%
26%
32%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | -1 |