Arsenal vs Sporting CP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.5%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
21.2%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
ARS
1 - 1
LIV
35%
24%
42%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2018 |
ARS
2 - 1
BPO
86%
10%
3%
|
87 | 64 | 23 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
CRY
2 - 2
ARS
23%
23%
54%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2018 |
SCP
0 - 1
ARS
30%
25%
45%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2018 |
ARS
3 - 1
LEI
53%
23%
25%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 2
SCP
17%
21%
62%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2018 |
SCP
1 - 2
EST
63%
23%
15%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
SCP
3 - 0
BOA
65%
22%
13%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2018 |
SCP
0 - 1
ARS
30%
25%
45%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
LOU
1 - 2
SCP
4%
10%
86%
|
85 | 42 | 43 | 0 |