Arsenal vs Southampton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.4%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.5%
8.1%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
ASV
0 - 3
ARS
16%
22%
61%
|
92 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2014 |
BVB
2 - 0
ARS
48%
25%
28%
|
92 | 93 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
ARS
2 - 2
MAC
42%
25%
34%
|
92 | 93 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
LEI
1 - 1
ARS
14%
21%
65%
|
93 | 79 | 14 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2014 |
ARS
1 - 0
BJK
77%
16%
7%
|
92 | 83 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Southampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
SWA
0 - 1
SOU
49%
25%
26%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
SOU
4 - 0
NEW
54%
23%
23%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
WHU
1 - 3
SOU
49%
24%
27%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2014 |
MIL
0 - 2
SOU
19%
24%
57%
|
82 | 63 | 19 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
SOU
0 - 0
WBA
55%
23%
22%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |