Arsenal vs Sevilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
20.2%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2007 |
TOT
1 - 3
ARS
36%
26%
38%
|
93 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2007 |
ARS
3 - 1
OPA
75%
16%
9%
|
93 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2007 |
ARS
3 - 0
SPA
79%
15%
6%
|
93 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
ARS
1 - 0
MAC
75%
16%
9%
|
93 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2007 |
BBU
1 - 1
ARS
32%
27%
41%
|
93 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Sevilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2007 |
SEV
4 - 1
REC
71%
19%
10%
|
93 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2007 |
AEK
1 - 4
SEV
24%
27%
50%
|
93 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2007 |
ACM
3 - 1
SEV
41%
25%
34%
|
93 | 92 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
SEV
4 - 1
GET
66%
21%
13%
|
93 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2007 |
RMA
3 - 5
SEV
55%
22%
23%
|
93 | 93 | 0 | 0 |