Arsenal vs Olympiacos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.6%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
11%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
17%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17%
8.4%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
ARS
3 - 0
BOL
71%
18%
10%
|
91 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2011 |
ARS
3 - 1
STF
82%
13%
5%
|
91 | 63 | 28 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
BBU
4 - 3
ARS
16%
21%
64%
|
91 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2011 |
BVB
1 - 1
ARS
29%
25%
46%
|
91 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
ARS
1 - 0
SWA
79%
15%
6%
|
91 | 76 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Olympiacos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
ERG
2 - 3
OLP
34%
28%
38%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
OLP
2 - 1
XAN
68%
20%
12%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2011 |
OLP
0 - 1
MAR
33%
25%
42%
|
84 | 90 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
INT
2 - 2
OLP
78%
15%
7%
|
83 | 91 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Jul. 2011 |
POL
1 - 2
OLP
34%
28%
38%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |