Arsenal vs Middlesbrough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.9%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.8%
4-0
8%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.1%
3-0
13.1%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.4%
2-0
16%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.3%
1-0
13%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
+1
22.4%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
13.7%
5.4%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2015 |
ARS
2 - 1
LEI
79%
15%
7%
|
91 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
TOT
2 - 1
ARS
39%
25%
36%
|
91 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
ARS
5 - 0
ASV
77%
15%
7%
|
91 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
BHA
2 - 3
ARS
10%
18%
72%
|
91 | 71 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
MAC
0 - 2
ARS
63%
20%
17%
|
90 | 93 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2015 |
BPO
1 - 2
MID
15%
26%
59%
|
79 | 57 | 22 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
MID
3 - 1
CHA
68%
21%
11%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
BRE
0 - 1
MID
36%
26%
38%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
MAC
0 - 2
MID
87%
10%
3%
|
77 | 92 | 15 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2015 |
MID
2 - 1
CAR
54%
25%
21%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |