Arsenal vs Middlesbrough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.3%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
19.2%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.1%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 1979 |
DER
3 - 2
ARS
38%
27%
35%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1979 |
LEE
1 - 1
ARS
58%
22%
20%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1979 |
ARS
0 - 0
MUD
49%
25%
26%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1979 |
ARS
0 - 2
IPS
52%
25%
23%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1979 |
BHA
0 - 4
ARS
34%
28%
39%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 1979 |
MID
1 - 0
NOR
52%
25%
23%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1979 |
MUD
2 - 1
MID
61%
22%
17%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1979 |
MID
1 - 1
CRY
66%
22%
12%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1979 |
MID
3 - 0
MAC
44%
28%
28%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1979 |
TOT
1 - 3
MID
50%
26%
24%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | +1 |