Arsenal vs Middlesbrough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.8%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
24.6%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 1910 |
SHE
2 - 0
ARS
72%
16%
13%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1910 |
LIV
5 - 1
ARS
75%
14%
12%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Dec. 1909 |
ARS
1 - 1
LIV
43%
24%
33%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1909 |
ARS
0 - 3
NEW
34%
26%
40%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1909 |
ARS
1 - 2
NOT
53%
24%
23%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 1910 |
MID
4 - 0
SHW
52%
22%
26%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1910 |
SHE
2 - 0
MID
73%
16%
12%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1909 |
BRA
4 - 1
MID
66%
19%
15%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Dec. 1909 |
MID
3 - 7
BRA
60%
21%
20%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1909 |
MID
1 - 2
MUD
48%
24%
28%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | -1 |