Arsenal vs Leeds United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.7%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
20%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
20.3%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 1929 |
ARS
2 - 0
EVE
59%
21%
21%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1929 |
MUD
4 - 1
ARS
43%
24%
33%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1929 |
ARS
1 - 1
LEI
57%
21%
22%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1929 |
ASV
4 - 2
ARS
63%
19%
18%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 1929 |
ARS
1 - 2
NEW
63%
20%
18%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Leeds United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 1929 |
LEE
0 - 1
BBU
51%
22%
27%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1929 |
SUN
2 - 1
LEE
69%
17%
14%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1929 |
LEE
1 - 1
DER
50%
23%
28%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1929 |
LEE
2 - 0
SHE
50%
22%
28%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1929 |
SHE
1 - 1
LEE
65%
18%
17%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |