Arsenal vs Grimsby Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.7%
Win probability
3.03
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.8%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.8%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.9%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
13.3%
10%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 1935 |
BIR
1 - 1
ARS
34%
23%
43%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1935 |
GRI
1 - 0
ARS
42%
22%
37%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1935 |
ARS
3 - 1
SUN
72%
15%
13%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1935 |
ARS
0 - 1
DER
75%
14%
11%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1935 |
LEI
3 - 5
ARS
37%
23%
41%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Grimsby Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 1935 |
GRI
1 - 3
CHL
64%
19%
18%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1935 |
GRI
1 - 0
ARS
42%
22%
37%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1935 |
BBU
1 - 0
GRI
60%
20%
21%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1935 |
SHW
1 - 0
GRI
60%
20%
21%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1935 |
GRI
3 - 0
WBA
56%
19%
24%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |