Premier League Round 38

Arsenal vs Fulham analysis

Arsenal Fulham
82 ELO 77
7.1% Tilt 1%
16º General ELO ranking 76º
Country ELO ranking 13º
ELO win probability
62.2%
Arsenal
18.6%
Draw
19.2%
Fulham

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.2%
Win probability
Arsenal
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.6%
19.2%
Win probability
Fulham
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Arsenal
+2%
-1%
Fulham

ELO progression

Arsenal
Fulham
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Arsenal
Arsenal
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Apr. 1961
BOL
Bolton Wanderers
1 - 1
Arsenal
ARS
52%
22%
26%
81 81 0 0
31 Mar. 1961
FUL
Fulham
2 - 2
Arsenal
ARS
51%
21%
28%
81 78 3 0
25 Mar. 1961
ARS
Arsenal
0 - 0
West Ham
WHU
62%
19%
20%
81 79 2 0
18 Mar. 1961
MUD
Manchester United
1 - 1
Arsenal
ARS
65%
18%
17%
81 85 4 0
11 Mar. 1961
ARS
Arsenal
0 - 0
Blackburn Rovers
BBU
63%
19%
19%
81 80 1 0

Matches

Fulham
Fulham
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Apr. 1961
MUD
Manchester United
3 - 1
Fulham
FUL
63%
19%
18%
78 84 6 0
31 Mar. 1961
FUL
Fulham
2 - 2
Arsenal
ARS
51%
21%
28%
78 81 3 0
25 Mar. 1961
FUL
Fulham
0 - 0
Tottenham Hotspur
TOT
31%
23%
46%
78 88 10 0
18 Mar. 1961
WHU
West Ham
1 - 2
Fulham
FUL
63%
18%
19%
77 79 2 +1
11 Mar. 1961
FUL
Fulham
2 - 2
Bolton Wanderers
BOL
56%
21%
22%
77 81 4 0