Arsenal vs Everton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.6%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
25%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
23.4%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 1978 |
LEE
0 - 1
ARS
52%
24%
24%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1978 |
ARS
4 - 1
IPS
57%
24%
19%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 1978 |
ARS
1 - 0
HKS
80%
13%
7%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1978 |
BRI
1 - 3
ARS
38%
27%
35%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1978 |
ARS
1 - 0
SOU
68%
19%
13%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 1978 |
EVE
3 - 2
CHL
75%
16%
9%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1978 |
EVE
2 - 3
NTT
56%
24%
19%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1978 |
NTT
0 - 0
EVE
59%
22%
19%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1978 |
DUK
1 - 0
EVE
30%
25%
45%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1978 |
EVE
1 - 0
LIV
41%
28%
32%
|
89 | 93 | 4 | 0 |