Arsenal vs Bolton Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.5%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.7%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.8%
11.6%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 1937 |
CHL
2 - 0
ARS
40%
23%
36%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1937 |
ARS
4 - 0
OPA
69%
18%
14%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1937 |
MAC
2 - 0
ARS
53%
21%
26%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1937 |
ARS
2 - 0
WBA
63%
18%
19%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1937 |
STO
0 - 0
ARS
41%
23%
36%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Bolton Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 1937 |
CHA
1 - 0
BOL
58%
21%
21%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1937 |
BOL
0 - 0
STO
51%
23%
25%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1937 |
CHL
0 - 1
BOL
62%
20%
18%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1937 |
BOL
1 - 0
OPA
47%
24%
29%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 1937 |
SHW
2 - 0
BOL
57%
22%
21%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | -1 |