Premier League Round 3

Arsenal vs Blackburn Rovers analysis

Arsenal Blackburn Rovers
94 ELO 83
8.8% Tilt 11.7%
16º General ELO ranking 833º
Country ELO ranking 31º
ELO win probability
79.7%
Arsenal
13.4%
Draw
6.9%
Blackburn Rovers

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.7%
Win probability
Arsenal
2.66
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.6%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.3%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.4%
6.9%
Win probability
Blackburn Rovers
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Arsenal
+1%
-4%
Blackburn Rovers

ELO progression

Arsenal
Blackburn Rovers
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Arsenal
Arsenal
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Aug. 2004
ARS
Arsenal
5 - 3
Middlesbrough
MID
80%
14%
6%
94 85 9 0
15 Aug. 2004
EVE
Everton
1 - 4
Arsenal
ARS
14%
22%
65%
94 82 12 0
08 Aug. 2004
ARS
Arsenal
3 - 1
Manchester United
MUD
51%
22%
27%
94 93 1 0
15 May. 2004
ARS
Arsenal
2 - 1
Leicester
LEI
82%
13%
6%
94 78 16 0
09 May. 2004
FUL
Fulham
0 - 1
Arsenal
ARS
15%
23%
62%
94 85 9 0

Matches

Blackburn Rovers
Blackburn Rovers
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Aug. 2004
SOU
Southampton
3 - 2
Blackburn Rovers
BBU
44%
26%
30%
84 84 0 0
14 Aug. 2004
BBU
Blackburn Rovers
1 - 1
West Bromwich Albion
WBA
65%
21%
14%
84 77 7 0
15 May. 2004
BBU
Blackburn Rovers
1 - 1
Birmingham City
BIR
59%
23%
18%
84 81 3 0
08 May. 2004
TOT
Tottenham Hotspur
1 - 0
Blackburn Rovers
BBU
51%
23%
26%
84 83 1 0
01 May. 2004
BBU
Blackburn Rovers
1 - 0
Manchester United
MUD
18%
23%
59%
84 93 9 0