Arsenal vs Birmingham City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.7%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.6%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
9%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.9%
12.4%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 1932 |
WBA
1 - 0
ARS
41%
23%
36%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1931 |
ARS
0 - 2
SHE
69%
16%
15%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Dec. 1931 |
SHE
4 - 1
ARS
50%
21%
29%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1931 |
MID
2 - 5
ARS
48%
22%
31%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1931 |
ARS
1 - 1
HUR
69%
17%
14%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 1932 |
BIR
4 - 0
EVE
47%
23%
30%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1931 |
BIR
1 - 0
WBA
51%
22%
27%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1931 |
WBA
0 - 1
BIR
57%
21%
22%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1931 |
CHL
2 - 1
BIR
42%
24%
34%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1931 |
BIR
4 - 1
WHU
53%
21%
26%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |