Arsenal vs Auxerre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.9%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
16%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16%
8.1%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2002 |
EVE
2 - 1
ARS
19%
25%
56%
|
93 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2002 |
ARS
3 - 1
SUN
81%
13%
7%
|
93 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2002 |
AUX
0 - 1
ARS
29%
26%
45%
|
93 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2002 |
LEE
1 - 4
ARS
30%
27%
43%
|
92 | 88 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2002 |
PSV
0 - 4
ARS
40%
26%
35%
|
92 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Auxerre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2002 |
LYO
3 - 0
AUX
65%
20%
15%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2002 |
AUX
1 - 1
MON
43%
26%
31%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2002 |
AUX
0 - 1
ARS
29%
26%
45%
|
87 | 93 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2002 |
NAN
1 - 4
AUX
52%
25%
23%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2002 |
BVB
2 - 1
AUX
54%
25%
21%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |