Inter-Cities Fairs Cup Semi-finals
Global 3-1
Arsenal vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.1%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
28.6%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 1970 |
ARS
2 - 1
WHU
62%
22%
16%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1970 |
IPS
2 - 1
ARS
37%
29%
34%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1970 |
ARS
2 - 0
CRY
78%
16%
7%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1970 |
ARS
2 - 2
WOL
66%
21%
14%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1970 |
SOU
0 - 2
ARS
47%
26%
27%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 1970 |
AJA
3 - 0
TWE
84%
11%
5%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1970 |
PSV
1 - 3
AJA
32%
25%
43%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1970 |
AJA
3 - 0
GRO
90%
7%
2%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1970 |
AJA
5 - 1
SHS
89%
7%
4%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1970 |
AJA
5 - 1
CZJ
71%
17%
12%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | -1 |