Arsenal vs Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.4%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
12.9%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
ARS
3 - 0
BOU
80%
14%
7%
|
90 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
LIV
4 - 0
ARS
35%
24%
42%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
STO
1 - 0
ARS
16%
20%
64%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2017 |
ARS
4 - 3
LEI
69%
19%
12%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2017 |
ARS
1 - 1
CHL
32%
24%
44%
|
90 | 92 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
AUG
3 - 0
KOL
30%
25%
46%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2017 |
HER
2 - 7
KOL
4%
12%
85%
|
84 | 32 | 52 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2017 |
KOL
1 - 3
HSV
43%
25%
32%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
MON
1 - 0
KOL
54%
23%
23%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
LEH
0 - 5
KOL
5%
12%
84%
|
85 | 22 | 63 | 0 |