Arsenal Tula II vs Zenit Penza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.5%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
17.4%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+48%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
2º
12º
6º
24
10º
12º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
42 | 25 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 24 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
41 | 23 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 19 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 18 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
33 | 17 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 16 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 13 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 13 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
|
10º
|
24 | 12 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 11 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
18 | 8 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal Tula II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2023 |
KHI
1 - 0
ARS
51%
21%
28%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2023 |
ARS
0 - 1
SKA
71%
17%
13%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2023 |
KOL
2 - 5
ARS
38%
22%
40%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
ARS
2 - 0
ZAN
45%
24%
32%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | +2 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
ZEN
0 - 2
ARS
32%
23%
45%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Zenit Penza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2023 |
ZEN
2 - 1
STR
20%
23%
57%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2023 |
SAK
1 - 1
ZEN
59%
21%
19%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2023 |
ZEN
1 - 1
FKO
29%
24%
47%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
SPA
3 - 0
ZEN
62%
19%
19%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
ZEN
0 - 2
ARS
32%
23%
45%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | -2 |