Arsenal Tula II vs SKA Khabarovsk II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.3%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.9%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
9%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.2%
15.5%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-41%
-24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
2º
11º
11º
27
6º
14º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
63 | 64 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 54 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 31 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
|
13º
|
27 | 27 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 21 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
19 | 19 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal Tula II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2024 |
ORE
2 - 1
ARS
19%
20%
61%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
ARS
4 - 1
SAL
25%
25%
51%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | +3 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
ZVE
1 - 2
ARS
41%
24%
36%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
ARS
2 - 0
FKK
34%
25%
40%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | +3 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
KOL
0 - 2
ARS
29%
21%
49%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
SKA Khabarovsk II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2024 |
SKA
0 - 0
ZEN
52%
22%
27%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
SPA
2 - 1
SKA
53%
22%
26%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
SKA
2 - 3
KPP
30%
25%
46%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
KHI
1 - 0
SKA
63%
19%
19%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
SKA
3 - 0
FDV
21%
21%
58%
|
30 | 45 | 15 | +6 |