Arsenal Tula II vs Rotor Volgograd II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.2%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
24.5%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-41%
+68%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
6º
14º
13º
17
6º
13º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
38 | 67 |
1º
|
44% | |
|
2º
|
36 | 66 |
2º
|
36.5% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 60 |
3º
|
32.5% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 58 |
4º
|
22.5% | |
|
3º
|
34 | 55 |
5º
|
26% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 52 |
6º
|
24.5% | |
|
7º
|
27 | 48 |
7º
|
39.5% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 39 |
8º
|
13% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 39 |
9º
|
25.5% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 36 |
10º
|
19% | |
|
|
11º
|
17 | 32 |
11º
|
18% | |
|
8º
|
19 | 31 |
12º
|
22.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
14 | 29 |
13º
|
20% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 29 |
14º
|
22% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 22 |
15º
|
60.5% | |
|
15º
|
5 | 10 |
16º
|
97% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
87.5% | 96% |
|
Relegation
|
12.5% | 4% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal Tula II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2025 |
ZEN
1 - 1
ARS
48%
23%
30%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2025 |
ARS
2 - 3
SAL
10%
18%
73%
|
34 | 53 | 19 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2025 |
ZNA
0 - 0
ARS
64%
21%
15%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2025 |
ARS
0 - 1
SPA
31%
23%
46%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2025 |
ROM
2 - 1
ARS
49%
22%
29%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Rotor Volgograd II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2025 |
ROT
0 - 1
DIN
14%
21%
65%
|
31 | 50 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2025 |
MET
2 - 0
ROT
70%
19%
11%
|
33 | 47 | 14 | -2 |
| 26 Jul. 2025 |
ROT
3 - 0
STR
38%
23%
39%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | +3 |
| 05 Jul. 2025 |
ROT
0 - 6
SAL
9%
18%
73%
|
30 | 53 | 23 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2025 |
ZNA
2 - 0
ROT
68%
19%
13%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | -1 |