Arsenal Sub 18 vs Aston Villa Sub 18 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.5%
Win probability
2.68
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
4%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
6%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
16.8%
16.6%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+104%
-47%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
5º
11º
11º
24
6º
11º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 40 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 39 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 37 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 36 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 29 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
24 | 24 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 24 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 24 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
|
10º
|
24 | 24 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
23 | 23 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 16 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal Sub 18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2023 |
LEI
2 - 2
ARS
42%
22%
36%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
WHU
2 - 0
ARS
79%
14%
8%
|
26 | 43 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2023 |
ARS
1 - 2
LEI
56%
20%
24%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
TOT
3 - 2
ARS
46%
21%
33%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
CRY
4 - 3
ARS
58%
20%
22%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Aston Villa Sub 18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2023 |
AST
4 - 2
LEI
31%
22%
47%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
AST
3 - 2
NOR
72%
16%
13%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
AST
1 - 0
WBA
46%
21%
33%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
CHE
4 - 1
AST
79%
13%
9%
|
18 | 31 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
AST
2 - 0
BHA
24%
21%
55%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | +2 |