Arsenal de Sarandí vs Independiente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.2%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
22.5%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal de Sarandí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2013 |
ARS
1 - 2
QUI
51%
25%
24%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2013 |
GOD
3 - 0
ARS
37%
28%
35%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2013 |
ARS
3 - 2
TIG
51%
25%
24%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2013 |
PLA
1 - 3
ARS
12%
21%
67%
|
80 | 61 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
ARS
1 - 0
RAC
53%
25%
22%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2013 |
RIV
2 - 1
IND
56%
25%
19%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2013 |
IND
0 - 0
EST
47%
27%
26%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
BEL
0 - 0
IND
45%
29%
27%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2013 |
IND
1 - 1
BUC
56%
22%
22%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
IND
3 - 1
SMA
56%
25%
19%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | +1 |